This story has been clarified to adjust the wording of two questions as well as probabilities in the predictions to match those in Metaculus.Basically developing a usable nuclear weapon — like miniaturizing a warhead ample to fit on a missile — may possibly just take Yet another a number of months to the calendar year or even more, and so in al… Read More

It's really a entire world that's unthinkable to me, as somebody who grew up during the shadow on the Pete Rose scandal. No matter what you think that of Pete Rose the person, the all-time hits chief isn't from the Baseball Corridor of Fame mainly because his gambling was viewed as a violation of the sport’s primary values.President Biden has mos… Read More